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Dialga GX

Ultra Prism · #164 · GXR

Dialga GX — Ultra Prism #164

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$45.96

DISCOUNT −48%

Modeled fair value $88.58

Trading well below fundamentals.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Supply Squeeze Available listings are drying up.

Listings 10% thinnerDemand holding2/wk sold

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is cheap against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks rich against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 750 packs
Cost to pull~$37,253
Released2018-02
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

CFair hold
30-Day Move
0%
Grading Edge
+124%
Time Window
30d

Dialga GX earns a 52/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 48% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Ultra Prism by price. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 124% ROI. It trades thinly.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    4.1
  • Scarcity
    6.2
  • Stability
    9.3

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 14, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 7 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $600.00 · Sep 3, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$45.96
High0 sold · 30dlast $39 · Aug 30
PSA logo10$600.0013.1×
High3 sold · 30dlast $600 · Sep 3
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $345.007.5×
Low1 sold · 30dlast $600 · Aug 6

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate42.7%
Graded898
  • PSA 1038342.7%
  • PSA 932135.7%
  • PSA 814416%
  • PSA 7303.3%
  • 6 & below202.2%
Other graders
CGC10921.1% top · 1 Pristine
BGS270% top
SGC560% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+374%if it gems
≈ $470.83 net / card
Raw cost
$45.96
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
43%
Slab market
$600.00

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 43% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
34
31 TCGplayer sellers · +7% vs 7d
Sold / wk
2.3
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -10%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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