Pack EV

Per-pack expected value: how much chase money an average pack pays back at today's prices.

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67 setsClick a row to see the math. Click a set name to open its page.

#Set

Top EV card

30th Celebration90 chase cards

Lugia11.0% of EV

$11.97

$5.12

▼ −57%

26.2%

Brilliant Stars92 chase cards

Charizard VSTAR12.4% of EV

$14.77

$5.20

▼ −65%

24.3%

Celebrations (25th)50 chase cards

Charizard18.7% of EV

$31.33

$9.38

▼ −70%

39.3%

Ascended Heroes78 chase cards

Mega Gengar ex13.9% of EV

$10.68

$2.92

▼ −73%

33.6%

Crown Zenith117 chase cards

Mewtwo VSTAR10.4% of EV

$25.43

$6.84

▼ −73%

21.3%

Astral Radiance118 chase cards

Starmie V10.0% of EV

$10.05

$2.50

▼ −75%

21.4%

Lost Origin98 chase cards

Giratina V25.9% of EV

$16.06

$3.75

▼ −77%

41.0%

Hidden Fates107 chase cards

Charizard GX14.8% of EV

$47.14

$11.00

▼ −77%

28.2%

15142 chase cards

Charizard ex18.1% of EV

$26.68

$6.19

▼ −77%

31.0%

Black Bolt86 chase cards

Victini21.1% of EV

$14.10

$3.14

▼ −78%

47.3%

Temporal Forces56 chase cards

Gastly11.3% of EV

$10.41

$2.30

▼ −78%

24.9%

Paradox Rift84 chase cards

Groudon9.7% of EV

$8.50

$1.83

▼ −78%

20.8%

Shrouded Fable35 chase cards

Persian11.3% of EV

$12.87

$2.71

▼ −79%

28.9%

Paldean Fates154 chase cards

Mew ex31.9% of EV

$23.07

$4.86

▼ −79%

47.7%

Scarlet & Violet60 chase cards

Gardevoir ex10.5% of EV

$8.39

$1.73

▼ −79%

23.6%

White Flare87 chase cards

Victini20.5% of EV

$13.45

$2.78

▼ −79%

42.6%

Silver Tempest101 chase cards

Lugia V18.1% of EV

$14.59

$3.02

▼ −79%

36.3%

Destined Rivals62 chase cards

Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex16.8% of EV

$8.34

$1.64

▼ −80%

33.9%

Paldea Evolved86 chase cards

Magikarp17.9% of EV

$16.07

$3.08

▼ −81%

28.2%

Pitch Black36 chase cards

Mega Darkrai ex21.7% of EV

$5.92

$1.11

▼ −81%

40.8%

Twilight Masquerade59 chase cards

Greninja ex13.1% of EV

$9.47

$1.73

▼ −82%

33.3%

Stellar Crown33 chase cards

Squirtle25.8% of EV

$10.69

$1.90

▼ −82%

55.3%

Prismatic Evolutions49 chase cards

Umbreon ex27.7% of EV

$13.84

$2.42

▼ −83%

44.5%

Perfect Order36 chase cards

Meowth ex14.5% of EV

$5.83

$1.01

▼ −83%

32.9%

Phantasmal Flames36 chase cards

Mega Charizard X ex59.6% of EV

$12.17

$2.09

▼ −83%

70.6%

Shining Fates146 chase cards

Charizard VMAX14.0% of EV

$18.12

$3.08

▼ −83%

22.1%

Chilling Reign97 chase cards

Blaziken VMAX27.5% of EV

$12.05

$2.03

▼ −83%

44.0%

Mega Evolution56 chase cards

Mega Gardevoir ex9.2% of EV

$9.06

$1.51

▼ −83%

24.5%

Chaos Rising36 chase cards

Mega Greninja ex21.1% of EV

$5.71

$0.90

▼ −84%

39.1%

Pokemon GO30 chase cards

Mewtwo VSTAR13.6% of EV

$15.15

$2.38

▼ −84%

35.4%

Surging Sparks61 chase cards

Pikachu ex16.5% of EV

$8.87

$1.36

▼ −85%

34.2%

Battle Styles60 chase cards

Tyranitar V38.1% of EV

$9.28

$1.40

▼ −85%

60.1%

Journey Together31 chase cards

Lillie's Clefairy ex13.5% of EV

$6.46

$0.96

▼ −85%

32.5%

Obsidian Flames33 chase cards

Charizard ex22.3% of EV

$12.20

$1.78

▼ −85%

43.6%

XY - BREAKpoint49 chase cards

Gyarados EX (Secret)20.3% of EV

$45.69

$6.59

▼ −86%

35.9%

XY - Fates Collide53 chase cards

Alakazam EX (Secret)20.2% of EV

$43.90

$5.85

▼ −87%

44.5%

Cosmic Eclipse78 chase cards

Arceus & Dialga & Palkia GX7.4% of EV

$72.35

$9.32

▼ −87%

20.7%

Evolving Skies105 chase cards

Umbreon VMAX17.2% of EV

$43.00

$5.49

▼ −87%

34.2%

Champion's Path26 chase cards

Charizard V57.7% of EV

$19.97

$2.42

▼ −88%

80.8%

Unified Minds62 chase cards

Mewtwo & Mew GX9.7% of EV

$81.39

$9.75

▼ −88%

25.6%

Fusion Strike48 chase cards

Gengar VMAX41.3% of EV

$18.49

$2.12

▼ −89%

64.1%

XY - Primal Clash75 chase cards

Primal Kyogre EX (Alpha - 149 Full Art)12.6% of EV

$60.77

$6.93

▼ −89%

29.5%

Unbroken Bonds58 chase cards

Gardevoir & Sylveon GX15.0% of EV

$67.63

$6.90

▼ −90%

29.9%

XY - BREAKthrough63 chase cards

Mewtwo EX (163 Secret Full Art)11.0% of EV

$60.45

$5.86

▼ −90%

30.9%

XY - Roaring Skies52 chase cards

M Rayquaza EX (105 Full Art)20.8% of EV

$75.67

$6.84

▼ −91%

37.1%

Sword & Shield51 chase cards

Snorlax VMAX19.7% of EV

$12.16

$1.08

▼ −91%

39.1%

XY - Evolutions52 chase cards

Charizard17.0% of EV

$66.41

$5.69

▼ −91%

32.7%

XY - Steam Siege55 chase cards

Gardevoir EX (Secret)14.5% of EV

$29.30

$2.47

▼ −92%

34.1%

Burning Shadows53 chase cards

Charizard GX30.8% of EV

$30.66

$2.51

▼ −92%

44.1%

Ultra Prism42 chase cards

Lillie23.7% of EV

$51.94

$4.17

▼ −92%

43.9%

Lost Thunder55 chase cards

Lugia GX7.8% of EV

$56.33

$4.34

▼ −92%

23.5%

XY - Ancient Origins49 chase cards

M Rayquaza EX (Shiny Full Art)24.2% of EV

$129.81

$9.77

▼ −92%

45.1%

Rebel Clash58 chase cards

Boss's Orders10.9% of EV

$11.69

$0.85

▼ −93%

24.5%

Crimson Invasion32 chase cards

Gyarados GX13.8% of EV

$18.49

$1.34

▼ −93%

34.5%

Sun & Moon37 chase cards

Umbreon GX13.1% of EV

$22.38

$1.60

▼ −93%

35.1%

Darkness Ablaze46 chase cards

Charizard VMAX25.4% of EV

$10.10

$0.72

▼ −93%

40.0%

Team Up49 chase cards

Latias & Latios GX30.6% of EV

$326.85

$23.23

▼ −93%

58.1%

Vivid Voltage55 chase cards

Pikachu VMAX21.7% of EV

$10.02

$0.70

▼ −93%

42.5%

XY - Furious Fists45 chase cards

M Lucario EX (Secret)13.4% of EV

$74.08

$4.98

▼ −93%

33.9%

Celestial Storm43 chase cards

Lisia11.6% of EV

$68.65

$3.68

▼ −95%

31.7%

Forbidden Light36 chase cards

Greninja GX6.8% of EV

$50.85

$2.62

▼ −95%

18.8%

Shining Legends12 chase cards

Mewtwo GX62.4% of EV

$112.95

$5.66

▼ −95%

76.0%

XY - Flashfire46 chase cards

M Charizard EX (X) (Secret)33.5% of EV

$161.27

$7.41

▼ −95%

57.7%

XY - Phantom Forces51 chase cards

Gengar EX (114 Full Art)28.0% of EV

$214.72

$9.87

▼ −95%

66.1%

Guardians Rising51 chase cards

Sylveon GX11.2% of EV

$37.07

$1.68

▼ −95%

30.7%

Dragon Majesty20 chase cards

Dragonite GX11.9% of EV

$113.99

$4.91

▼ −96%

35.1%

XY Base Set57 chase cards

Blastoise EX (142 Full Art)13.4% of EV

$104.54

$3.45

▼ −97%

30.6%

How to read this board

01 · EV mathEV (gross) = expected $ in chase cards per pack at TCG market. EV (net) = gross × 0.85 (fees + shipping). ROI = net EV ÷ pack price − 1.

02 · Read it rightEV is the average: most rips don't hit, a small fraction do and pay for the rest. Top-3 share is concentration: 60%+ means one or two cards carry the math.

Data through 2026-10-28 · 67 sets · Median ROI −85%