Shining Fates

Sword & Shield · Released Feb 19, 2021 · 5y 8m old Set index

Chase cards146scored in this set

Chase market$684summed card value

Sealed SKUs28tracked products

Pack ROI▼ −83%EV net $3.08 / $18.12

Sealed 30d▼ −4.6%ETB price, 30 days

Fair value▼ −36%average vs fair

Shining Fates index · base 1,000

1986.31▼ −0.3%this window

Rebased to 1,000 on the first day we have prices for this set, so it tracks the set against its own history.

Heat · for its ageHeat board →

Running hot1.39×for its age · #7 of 62

QuietCoolNormalWarmHot

Sells per day0.43%of everything listed

Normal at this age0.31%what the age curve expects

Cards sold, last 7 days256↓ -32% vs the market

Sellers with it listed7,804in line with the market

How much of what is listed sells each day, against what is normal for a set its age. Measured on the 24 chase cards we track over 45 days. Activity, not price, and not a forecast.

Sealed products 28

Every sealed SKU we track for this set, with fair value from the chase-lag model where we have it.

Full sealed picks →

Type

Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box▼ −15%ETBCurrent $142.56Fair $167.13

Shining Fates Mad Party Pin Collection [Set of 4]▲ +58%Current $248.75Fair $157.26

Shining Fates Mad Party Pin Collection [Bunnelby]▲ +46%Current $58.72Fair $40.15

Shining Fates Collection [Shiny Cramorant V]▲ +40%Current $70.37Fair $50.21

Shining Fates Collection Pikachu V Case▲ +37%Current $443.30Fair $323.03

Shining Fates Collection [Shiny Boltund V]▲ +32%Current $69.99Fair $53.01

Shining Fates Collection [Pikachu V]▲ +31%Current $68.94Fair $52.67

Shining Fates Mad Party Pin Collection Display▲ +26%Current $449.00Fair $355.33

Shining Fates Mad Party Pin Collection [Dedenne]▲ +24%Current $61.07Fair $49.39

Shining Fates V Tin [Cramorant V]▲ +23%Current $71.19Fair $57.88

Card list 146

Every scored card in this set, against modeled fair value.

Full chase picks →

Rarity

Charizard VMAXPending#SV107Price $109.87Fair —

MorpekoPending#SV044Price $22.86Fair —

SuicunePending#SV022Price $17.31Fair —

Galarian PonytaPending#SV047Price $17.21Fair —

YamperPending#SV039Price $17.14Fair —

Ditto VMAXPending#SV119Price $15.42Fair —

MinccinoPending#SV093Price $14.19Fair —

Galarian RapidashPending#SV048Price $13.62Fair —

CinccinoPending#SV094Price $11.89Fair —

ApplinPending#SV012Price $11.04Fair —

Poké Kid▼ −21%#70Price $9.20Fair $11.60

AppletunPending#SV014Price $9.02Fair —

DreepyPending#SV060Price $8.86Fair —

KoffingPending#SV076Price $8.86Fair —

Lapras VMAXPending#SV111Price $8.55Fair —

Reading Shining Fates

01 · What this page showsEvery scored card in Shining Fates against modeled fair value, plus the sealed products we track for it. A read on today, never a forecast.

02 · The set indexRebased to 1,000 on the first day we have prices for this set, so it tracks the set against its own history rather than against other sets.

03 · A set is not one tradeA discount on one card says nothing about the rest. Read the card list, not the set average, which is why there is no single set-level verdict here.

Updated 2026-10-28 · 146 scored cards · 28 sealed SKUs · Set index base 1,000 from 2025-01-27