Lost Origin

Sword & Shield · Released Sep 9, 2022 · 4y 2m old Set index

Chase cards98scored in this set

Chase market$1,847summed card value

Sealed SKUs32tracked products

Pack ROI▼ −77%EV net $3.75 / $16.06

Sealed 30d▼ −12.0%ETB price, 30 days

Fair value▲ +4%average vs fair

Lost Origin index · base 1,000

1712.38▼ −4.2%this window

Rebased to 1,000 on the first day we have prices for this set, so it tracks the set against its own history.

Heat · for its ageHeat board →

Normal0.97×typical for its age · #30 of 62

QuietCoolNormalWarmHot

Sells per day0.36%of everything listed

Normal at this age0.37%what the age curve expects

Cards sold, last 7 days576↓ -11% vs the market

Sellers with it listed19,356in line with the market

How much of what is listed sells each day, against what is normal for a set its age. Measured on the 68 chase cards we track over 45 days. Activity, not price, and not a forecast.

Sealed products 32

Every sealed SKU we track for this set, with fair value from the chase-lag model where we have it.

Full sealed picks →

Type

Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box▼ −15%ETBCurrent $195.14Fair $228.31

Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard▼ −9%Current $524.69Fair $575.25

Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Premium Collection▲ +46%Current $125.29Fair $85.70

Pokemon Stacking Tin: Darkness▲ +43%Current $51.25Fair $35.72

Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas]▲ +35%Current $69.97Fair $51.95

Origin Forme Dialga VSTAR Premium Collection▲ +31%Current $128.17Fair $98.05

Arceus VSTAR Premium Collection▲ +29%Current $305.24Fair $235.85

Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR Premium Collection▲ +29%Current $158.42Fair $122.98

Lost Origin Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]▲ +27%Current $85.31Fair $67.00

Origin Forme Dialga/Palkia VSTAR Premium Collection [Set of 2]▲ +25%Current $227.01Fair $181.55

Card list 98

Every scored card in this set, against modeled fair value.

Full chase picks →

Rarity

Giratina V≈ −3%#186Price $821.01Fair $843.36

Aerodactyl V▲ +40%#180Price $201.09Fair $144.04

Pikachu V▼ −8%#TG16Price $106.68Fair $115.98

Pikachu VMAX▲ +18%#TG17Price $94.50Fair $80.20

Gengar▼ −31%#TG06Price $46.95Fair $68.05

Pikachu▼ −34%#TG05Price $41.32Fair $63.00

Mew VMAX▼ −32%#TG30Price $29.61Fair $43.82

Charizard▼ −19%#TG03Price $28.92Fair $35.56

Rotom V≈ +1%#177Price $26.76Fair $26.45

Pikachu VMAX▼ −18%#TG29Price $23.94Fair $29.23

Giratina VSTAR▼ −26%#201Price $23.73Fair $31.91

Snorlax▼ −33%#TG10Price $22.91Fair $34.40

Galarian Perrserker V▲ +17%#184Price $21.99Fair $18.80

Giratina VSTAR▼ −26%#212Price $18.70Fair $25.19

Giratina V▼ −40%#185Price $17.03Fair $28.38

Reading Lost Origin

01 · What this page showsEvery scored card in Lost Origin against modeled fair value, plus the sealed products we track for it. A read on today, never a forecast.

02 · The set indexRebased to 1,000 on the first day we have prices for this set, so it tracks the set against its own history rather than against other sets.

03 · A set is not one tradeA discount on one card says nothing about the rest. Read the card list, not the set average, which is why there is no single set-level verdict here.

Updated 2026-10-28 · 98 scored cards · 32 sealed SKUs · Set index base 1,000 from 2025-01-27