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Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard

Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard

Lost Origin · Sealed

Sealed

AlignedConviction: Aligned. Market price sits close to fair value, so there is no real gap to act on.

Market

$593.24

Fair value What our model says this card is worth from its fundamentals — print scarcity, character demand, gem rate, and grading comps. The verdict compares the market price to this. It's a fair-value read, not a prediction of where the price will go.$585.40FAIR
Below fairFairAbove fair

Why it reads fairly priced

Chase cards backing Lost Origin are up 34.3% over 150d; this product is up 22.1% — roughly in line with the cards it backs.

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Price history

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Rip math

per pack
Pack price
$19.18
EV (net)
$3.99
ROI
−79%
Top-3 share
42%

EV is an average — most packs miss and a few hits carry it, so a single rip swings widely.

Chase cards in Lost Origin

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The singles this product's value tracks — top by market price.

Giratina V
Giratina V
$837.71
FAIR
Aerodactyl V
Aerodactyl V
$214.27
PREMIUM
Pikachu V
Pikachu V
$131.60
FAIR
Pikachu VMAX
Pikachu VMAX
$115.34
PREMIUM
Gengar
Gengar
$54.79
DISCOUNT
Pikachu
Pikachu
$50.97
DISCOUNT

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Lost Origin Build & Battle Stadium Case
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$950.00
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Lost Origin Booster Box
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Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas]
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$54.51
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Lost Origin Booster Box Case
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$4,640.68
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Origin Forme Dialga/Palkia VSTAR Premium Collection [Set of 2]
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$192.62
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Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box Case
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$1,842.86
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