Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard
Lost Origin · Sword & Shield · Sealed$524.69fair value $575.25
▼ 9% underPriced below the cards inside.
Why it reads at a discountSimilar sealed →
It has run 8.8 pts behind the chase cards it backs, after allowing for how sealed moved overall.
150 daysChase cards▼ −4.5%This product▼ −9.9%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecastConviction is how well-supported the gap is. A strong call is a wide, steady gap over the window; a lean one is smaller or noisier.
Price history
TCGplayer market price, daily, against the fair value the cards inside imply$499$564$597Fair $575.25$523.50
Jul 30Aug 28Sep 27Oct 27
Market priceFair valueFair zone ±5%
Most recent: $523.50 · Oct 27, 2026Rip math per pack
Pack EV board →Pack price$16.06TCGplayer market
EV (net)$3.75chase value per pack, after fees
ROI▼ −77%net EV ÷ pack price − 1
Top-3 share41%of EV from three cards, led by Giratina V
EV is an average. Most packs miss and a few hits carry it, so a single rip swings widely.
Chase cards in Lost Origin
The Lost Origin singles this product's fair value tracks, top by market price.
More Lost Origin sealed
All of the set's products →
![Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/277329_in_800x800.jpg)
