Pikachu

Lost Origin · #TG05 · TGN

Raw−4.4%/ 30dSlab−17.6%/ 30d Released 2022-09
Raw market
Market
Hot
$60.54
33.5 sales/wk 574 last 90d
Fair value
$64.09
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
Lean
−6%
UNDERVALUED
PSA 10 slab?How Market is measured The Market value is a robust median of PSA 10 sold prices — a 7-day window when the card sells ≥5/week, widening to 30–60 days for thin volume, with an outlier filter. The chart plots the individual sales, so a recent spike can ride above this median. Reading raw vs. slab The two “vs Fair Value” figures measure against different benchmarks, so they can point different directions without disagreeing. Raw is judged against the graded market — undervalued means the raw card is cheap relative to its PSA 10. Slab is judged against fundamentals — overvalued means the PSA 10 itself looks rich versus print scarcity, grading rates, and demand. Both can be true at once. 3,817 PSA 10 pop · 22% gem
Market
$700.31
Median PSA-10 sale · 291 sales
Fair value
$585.67
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
★★Watch
+20%
OVERVALUED

Price history · 30d

Raw market fair $64.09
PSA 10 slab PSA-10 sales · fair $585.67
Supply & Demand
Active listings · supply
250
Sold / wk · demand
56
▲ 59.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure22% · steady
softhot
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Active listings + the supply-trend gauge are eBay; sold/wk is TCGplayer. Demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through, since the two venues differ (but track closely). Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

TCGplayer demand

How consistently this card actually sells, from monthly TCGplayer sales volume. A descriptive read of revealed demand — not a price forecast.

Demand Score75
Persist 62% · Place 91% · Streak 100% · Recent 68%
Persistence
Recurring
On the most-traded board in 6/6 months (top-20 in 2, top-10 in 1) · 6-month streak
Trajectory
Steady
Holding its rank.
Off peak
At peak
peak $58.03
Units sold
226
trailing 30 days
Cost basis
$24.11 · Dec 2025
first seen

Monthly top-seller appearances

MonthRankUnitsAvg price
Jun 2026#20109$56.77
May 2026#32194$58.03
Apr 2026#22203$46.47
Mar 2026#24256$33.85
Feb 2026#33203$30.03
Jan 2026#12416$25.10

Months this card ranked in the monthly TCGplayer $50+ top sellers. Units shown for months we reconstruct from daily sales; rank-only months come from the official monthly report.

Grading opportunity

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab — expected margin after fees, gem rate, and turnaround.

+42%
≈ $59.51 expected net / card
Raw cost
$60.54
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
22%
Slab market
$700.31

Expected value per submission — the PSA-10 weighted by the 22% gem rate, ~raw recovered on the misses, after fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut.

See full board

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