Pikachu
Lost Origin · #TG05 · TGN$41.32fair value $63.00
▼ 34% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−21%Sales−35%Listings−7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$41.29▼ −$10.66 (−20.5%)past 90 days
$38.64$46.90$51.03$41.29
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $41.29 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +71% expected return.Raw $41.32 → PSA 10 $774.67 · 18.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$41.32———High
PSA10$774.6718.8×$982.38 · Oct 2635High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 2.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$640.0015.5×$699.00 · Oct 242Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$159.993.9×$195.00 · Oct 2510High
TAG10$650.0015.7×$650.00 · Oct 232High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate20.6%
PSA graded19,096
PSA 10
3,93820.6%
PSA 9
9,69850.8%
PSA 8
4,02421.1%
PSA 7
9845.2%
6 & below
4522.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC3,198 graded · 27.8% top · 95 Pristine
SGC211 graded · 24.6% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+531%if it gems≈ $644.72 net per card
Raw cost$41.32
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate21%break-even 8%
Slab market$774.67
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 21% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1021%$766.04PSA 951%$76.75PSA 821%$38.127 or lower8%$31.52
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $207.20 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings306265 sellers · +9% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 35.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 14Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
74/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Pikachu earns a 74/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 34% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Lost Origin. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 59% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 8%
Grading edge+59%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.3
Scarcity
8.3
Stability
6.8
