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Pikachu ex — Prismatic Evolutions #179
Pull rate1 in 900 packs
Cost to pull~$12,456
Released2025-01

Pikachu ex

Prismatic Evolutions · #179 · HR
$45.19fair value $87.43
▼ 48% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−12%Sales+358%Listings−5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$45.19▼ −$16.97 (−27.3%)past 90 days
$50$56$61$45.19
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $45.19 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +4% expected return.Raw $45.19 → PSA 10 $315.00 · 7.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$45.19———High
PSA10$315.007.0×$340.00 · Oct 2744High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$380.008.4×$325.00 · Oct 275High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$144.003.2×$89.00 · Oct 257High
SGC10$107.502.4×$112.50 · Sep 240Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate27.7%
PSA graded15,698
PSA 10
4,34527.7%
PSA 9
7,55148.1%
PSA 8
2,97118.9%
PSA 7
5683.6%
6 & below
2631.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC902 graded · 37.8% top · 62 Pristine
BGS454 graded · 0% top
SGC37 graded · 24.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings144128 sellers · -7% vs 7d
Sold / week17▲ 358.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure12% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 24Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
64/100Solid hold

Pikachu ex earns a 64/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 48% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Prismatic Evolutions by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 27%
Grading edge-4%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.1
Scarcity
6.7
Stability
7.2
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