Pikachu VMAX
Lost Origin · #TG17 · TGV$94.50fair value $80.20
▲ 18% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−8%Sales−37%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$94.95▼ −$22.82 (−19.4%)past 90 days
$103$110$116$94.95
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $94.95 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +16% expected return.Raw $94.50 → PSA 10 $265.00 · 2.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$94.50———High
PSA10$265.002.8×$258.85 · Oct 2744High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$375.004.0×$300.00 · Oct 273Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$149.001.6×$142.50 · Oct 162High
BGS10$534.005.7×$350.00 · Sep 200Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate64.8%
PSA graded17,567
PSA 10
11,38364.8%
PSA 9
4,82127.4%
PSA 8
9845.6%
PSA 7
1811%
6 & below
1981.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,640 graded · 44.1% top · 144 Pristine
SGC225 graded · 40.4% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+50%if it gems≈ $87.55 net per card
Raw cost$94.50
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate65%break-even 48%
Slab market$265.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 65% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1065%$262.05PSA 927%$94.38PSA 86%$94.007 or lower2%$94.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $203.00 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings121102 sellers · +7% vs 7d
Sold / week7.8▼ 37.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 1Oct 26
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
55/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Pikachu VMAX earns a 55/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 18% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Lost Origin. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 17% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge+17%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.8
Scarcity
2.4
Stability
8.0
