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Pikachu

151 · #173 · IR

Pikachu — 151 #173

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$82.61

PREMIUM +42%

Modeled fair value $58.22

Priced above fair value.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Demand Fading Demand is softening.

Sales −53% · Listings +3% · Price +4%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is expensive against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks cheap against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$4,982
Released2023-09
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

A+Core hold
30-Day Move
-10%
Grading Edge
+27%
Time Window
30d

Pikachu earns a 73/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 42% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 27% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    7.5
  • Scarcity
    6.9
  • Stability
    6.9

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 63 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $600.00 · Sep 6, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$82.61
High13 sold · 30dlast $70 · Sep 8
PSA logo10$545.726.6×
High28 sold · 30dlast $600 · Sep 6
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $187.502.3×
High6 sold · 30dlast $129 · Sep 6
SGC logo10$215.002.6×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $215 · May 28
TAG logo10$451.805.5×
High2 sold · 30dlast $575 · Sep 5
ACE logo10$338.264.1×
Low4 sold · 30dlast $292 · Sep 7

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate26.7%
Graded33,223
  • PSA 108,87826.7%
  • PSA 917,60753%
  • PSA 85,60616.9%
  • PSA 78492.6%
  • 6 & below2830.9%
Other graders
CGC2,34738.7% top · 89 Pristine
BGS6500% top
SGC27339.6% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+230%if it gems
≈ $374.67 net / card
Raw cost
$82.61
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
27%
Slab market
$545.72

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 27% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
209
185 TCGplayer sellers · +16% vs 7d
Sold / wk
17
▼ 52.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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