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Pikachu — 151 #173
Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$5,016
Released2023-09

Pikachu

151 · #173 · IR
$65.71fair value $52.20
▲ 26% overPriced above fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales+38%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$65.71▼ −$26.09 (−28.4%)past 90 days
$76$84$93$65.71
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $65.71 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +24% expected return.Raw $65.71 → PSA 10 $507.00 · 7.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$65.71———High
PSA10$507.007.7×$479.00 · Oct 2310High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$477.007.3×$360.00 · Oct 191Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$171.002.6×$241.11 · Oct 257High
SGC10$157.502.4×$100.00 · Oct 81Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate26.2%
PSA graded34,191
PSA 10
8,96326.2%
PSA 9
18,09252.9%
PSA 8
5,90817.3%
PSA 7
9322.7%
6 & below
2960.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,496 graded · 38.5% top · 95 Pristine
BGS682 graded · 0% top
SGC273 graded · 39.6% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+243%if it gems≈ $353.76 net per card
Raw cost$65.71
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate26%break-even 18%
Slab market$507.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1026%$499.47PSA 953%$72.25PSA 817%$56.227 or lower4%$56.22
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $180.83 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 26% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings275245 sellers · +6% vs 7d
Sold / week12▲ 37.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 13Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
72/100Core hold

Pikachu earns a 72/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 26% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 24% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge+24%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.3
Scarcity
6.9
Stability
7.1
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