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Gengar — Lost Origin #TG06
Pull rate1 in 132 packs
Cost to pull~$2,120
Released2022-09

Gengar

Lost Origin · #TG06 · TGN
$46.95fair value $68.05
▼ 31% underTrading well below fundamentals.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−14%Sales+9%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$46.40▼ −$9.71 (−17.3%)past 90 days
$44.33$48.90$53.48$58.05$46.40
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $46.40 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +63% expected return.Raw $46.95 → PSA 10 $695.82 · 14.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$46.95———High
PSA10$695.8214.8×$687.48 · Oct 2754High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$470.0010.0×$365.20 · Sep 260High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$164.993.5×$222.22 · Oct 2314High
SGC10$265.095.7×$180.18 · Sep 150Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate22.3%
PSA graded24,027
PSA 10
5,35922.3%
PSA 9
12,89753.7%
PSA 8
4,53518.9%
PSA 7
8443.5%
6 & below
3921.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC3,690 graded · 35.9% top · 166 Pristine
SGC240 graded · 34.2% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+442%if it gems≈ $561.12 net per card
Raw cost$46.95
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate22%break-even 10%
Slab market$695.82
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1022%$688.07PSA 954%$75.50PSA 819%$55.497 or lower5%$36.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $206.30 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 22% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings258229 sellers · -8% vs 7d
Sold / week15▲ 9.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 15Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
75/100Core hold

Gengar earns a 75/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 31% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Lost Origin. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 51% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 10%
Grading edge+51%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.4
Scarcity
7.8
Stability
7.8
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