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Gengar ex — 30th Celebration #154
Pull rate1 in 205 packs
Cost to pull~$2,454
Released2026-09

Gengar ex

30th Celebration · #154 · SIR
$67.90fair value $69.38
≈ at fairPriced about right.
New Set · Selling brisklyToo new to read a demand trend yet; that takes about two months of sales history. Price and listings still update. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
Since releasePrice−60%Listings+10%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$67.90▼ −$102.45 (−60.1%)past 90 days
$105$138$171$67.90
Sep 14Sep 25Oct 6Oct 17Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $67.90 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +26% expected return.Raw $67.90 → PSA 10 $892.50 · 13.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$67.90———High
PSA10$892.5013.1×$1,250.00 · Oct 2114High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10.$450.006.6×$410.00 · Oct 2218High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$216.253.2×$247.50 · Oct 2014Med
BGS10$898.0013.2×$898.00 · Oct 101Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+265%if it gems≈ $392.47 net per card
Raw cost$67.90
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate25%break-even 17%
Slab market$892.50
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1025%$540.37Not a 1075%≈ $67.90
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $186.02 per slab, before selling fees. Too few PSA 9 and 8 sales to price a miss, so it counts at the raw price.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 25% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings185166 sellers · -8% vs 7d
Sold / week64
Demand pressure35% · steady
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +10%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 29Oct 28
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
59/100Solid hold

Gengar ex earns a 59/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 2% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in 30th Celebration. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 85% ROI. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge+85%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.0
Scarcitylimited data
5.0
Stability
2.0
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