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Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box
30-day move−0.2%
Pack ROI−77%
ReleasedSep 2022

Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box

Lost Origin · Sword & Shield · ETB
$195.14fair value $228.31
▼ 15% underPriced below the cards inside.
Why it reads at a discountSimilar sealed →
It has run 14.5 pts behind the chase cards it backs, after allowing for how sealed moved overall.
150 daysChase cards▼ −4.5%This product▼ −15.6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecastConviction is how well-supported the gap is. A strong call is a wide, steady gap over the window; a lean one is smaller or noisier.

Price history

TCGplayer market price, daily, against the fair value the cards inside imply
$210$223$237Fair $228.31$195.14
Jul 30Aug 28Sep 27Oct 27
Market priceFair valueFair zone ±5%
Most recent: $195.14 · Oct 27, 2026
The fair value is today's, drawn flat: we publish one figure per product, not a fair-value history, so there is no earlier fair line to draw and no confidence band around it.

Rip math per pack

Pack EV board →
Pack price$16.06TCGplayer market
EV (net)$3.75chase value per pack, after fees
ROI▼ −77%net EV ÷ pack price − 1
Top-3 share41%of EV from three cards, led by Giratina V

EV is an average. Most packs miss and a few hits carry it, so a single rip swings widely.

Chase cards in Lost Origin

The Lost Origin singles this product's fair value tracks, top by market price.
All of the set →

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