Pikachu V
Lost Origin · #TG16 · TGV$106.68fair value $115.98
▼ 8% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales−33%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$106.45▼ −$26.95 (−20.2%)past 90 days
$116$124$132$106.45
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $106.45 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +38% expected return.Raw $106.68 → PSA 10 $411.00 · 3.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$106.68———High
PSA10$411.003.9×$424.63 · Oct 2246High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$499.994.7×$384.00 · Sep 140High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$165.001.6×$225.00 · Oct 245High
BGS10$585.605.5×$671.20 · Sep 30Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate52%
PSA graded16,270
PSA 10
8,46052%
PSA 9
6,14937.8%
PSA 8
1,2497.7%
PSA 7
2281.4%
6 & below
1841.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,520 graded · 38.2% top · 113 Pristine
SGC185 graded · 40.5% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+118%if it gems≈ $219.74 net per card
Raw cost$106.68
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate52%break-even 29%
Slab market$411.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 52% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1052%$406.42PSA 938%$95.95PSA 88%$95.957 or lower3%$95.95
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $257.09 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings124110 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week7.8▼ 33.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 3Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
60/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Pikachu V earns a 60/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 8% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Lost Origin. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 42% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 14%
Grading edge+42%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.3
Scarcity
3.9
Stability
7.0
