Charizard
Lost Origin · #TG03 · TGN$28.92fair value $35.56
▼ 19% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales+66%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$28.96▼ −$0.93 (−3.1%)past 90 days
$27.64$31.71$33.75$28.96
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $28.96 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +20% expected return.Raw $28.92 → PSA 10 $380.00 · 13.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$28.92———High
PSA10$380.0013.1×$396.67 · Oct 2645High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$424.0014.7×$500.00 · Oct 201Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$97.503.4×$57.60 · Oct 2610High
SGC10$125.004.3×$127.50 · Aug 70Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate26.1%
PSA graded19,429
PSA 10
5,07026.1%
PSA 9
10,29253%
PSA 8
3,24016.7%
PSA 7
5252.7%
6 & below
3021.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC4,329 graded · 31.6% top · 132 Pristine
SGC392 graded · 34.9% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+245%if it gems≈ $266.85 net per card
Raw cost$28.92
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate26%break-even 20%
Slab market$380.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 26% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1026%$375.77PSA 953%$49.55PSA 817%$32.167 or lower4%$25.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $130.74 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings275242 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week17▲ 65.8% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 18Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
67/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Charizard earns a 67/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 19% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Lost Origin. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 11% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 0%
Grading edge+11%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.5
Scarcity
6.9
Stability
7.6
