Skip to main content
HyperPotion
Mega Charizard X ex — Phantasmal Flames #109
Pull rate1 in 211 packs
Cost to pull~$2,568
Released2025-11

Mega Charizard X ex

Phantasmal Flames · #109 · UR
$22.36fair value $18.89
▲ 18% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales+2%Listings−3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trial

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$22.29▼ −$7.64 (−25.5%)past 90 days
$19.62$26.91$30.56$22.29
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $22.29 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −29% expected return.Raw $22.36 → PSA 10 $106.90 · 4.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$22.36———High
PSA10$106.904.8×$86.40 · Oct 26195High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 21% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$129.995.8×$104.49 · Oct 2340High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$69.793.1×$45.00 · Oct 2786High
BGS10$389.7417.4×$400.00 · Sep 81Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate57.4%
PSA graded38,321
PSA 10
21,99157.4%
PSA 9
13,73735.8%
PSA 8
1,9805.2%
PSA 7
3420.9%
6 & below
2710.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,830 graded · 64.3% top · 762 Pristine
BGS1,253 graded · 0% top
SGC45 graded · 20% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings324307 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week25▲ 2.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 23Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
52/100Fair hold

Mega Charizard X ex earns a 52/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 18% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Phantasmal Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day move▲ 9%
Grading edge-31%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.6
Scarcity
3.3
Stability
5.8
HyperPotion Premium

See every card priced like this.

3-day free trial · Full boards · Overlays · Fair-Value Lab · Cancel anytime