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Charizard ex — Obsidian Flames #215
Pull rate1 in 181 packs
Cost to pull~$2,208
Released2023-08

Charizard ex

Obsidian Flames · #215 · UR
$21.33fair value $18.68
▲ 14% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+0%Sales−30%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$21.33▼ −$0.47 (−2.2%)past 90 days
$20.23$21.01$21.79$22.57$21.33
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $21.33 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −8% expected return.Raw $21.33 → PSA 10 $192.50 · 9.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$21.33———High
PSA10$192.509.0×$194.00 · Oct 2521High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.6% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$166.007.8×$248.88 · Oct 212Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$65.003.0×$69.25 · Oct 2610High
SGC10$60.982.9×$29.00 · Sep 240Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate34.9%
PSA graded17,369
PSA 10
6,06134.9%
PSA 9
8,93151.4%
PSA 8
1,83410.6%
PSA 7
3091.8%
6 & below
2341.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,874 graded · 40.3% top · 106 Pristine
BGS403 graded · 0% top
SGC507 graded · 47.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings190172 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week30▼ 30.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure16% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 1Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
62/100Solid hold

Charizard ex earns a 62/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 14% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Obsidian Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day move▼ 0%
Grading edge-20%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.8
Scarcity
5.9
Stability
8.3
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