Skip to main content
HyperPotion
Charizard ex — Obsidian Flames #228
Pull rate1 in 156 packs
Cost to pull~$1,903
Released2023-08

Charizard ex

Obsidian Flames · #228 · HR
$35.77fair value $32.15
▲ 11% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−2%Sales−30%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trial

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$35.77▼ −$0.15 (−0.4%)past 90 days
$31.71$33.49$37.04$35.77
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $35.77 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −16% expected return.Raw $35.77 → PSA 10 $241.88 · 6.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$35.77———High
PSA10$241.886.8×$238.50 · Oct 2645High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 2.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$365.0010.2×$538.00 · Oct 191High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$118.503.3×$128.00 · Oct 268High
SGC10$105.002.9×$200.00 · Sep 20Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate26%
PSA graded35,205
PSA 10
9,14826%
PSA 9
17,52349.8%
PSA 8
6,69719%
PSA 7
1,2463.5%
6 & below
5911.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC3,959 graded · 26.5% top · 111 Pristine
BGS1,001 graded · 0% top
SGC878 graded · 34.6% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings206185 sellers · -13% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 30.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 16Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
67/100Core hold

Charizard ex earns a 67/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 11% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Obsidian Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▲ 6%
Grading edge-23%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.3
Scarcity
6.9
Stability
8.4
HyperPotion Premium

See every card priced like this.

3-day free trial · Full boards · Overlays · Fair-Value Lab · Cancel anytime