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Snorlax — Lost Origin #TG10
Pull rate1 in 132 packs
Cost to pull~$2,120
Released2022-09

Snorlax

Lost Origin · #TG10 · TGN
$22.91fair value $34.40
▼ 33% underTrading well below fundamentals.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−5%Sales−14%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$22.76▲ +$0.01 (+0.0%)past 90 days
$20.98$22.07$23.17$24.26$22.76
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $22.76 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +50% expected return.Raw $22.91 → PSA 10 $518.50 · 22.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$22.91———High
PSA10$518.5022.6×$525.00 · Oct 2120High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$300.0013.1×$349.00 · Oct 214High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$85.003.7×$67.20 · Oct 263High
SGC10$160.007.0×$160.00 · May 110Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate22.9%
PSA graded8,247
PSA 10
1,89222.9%
PSA 9
4,27651.8%
PSA 8
1,57319.1%
PSA 7
3404.1%
6 & below
1662%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,134 graded · 30.2% top · 78 Pristine
SGC105 graded · 25.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+398%if it gems≈ $409.82 net per card
Raw cost$22.91
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate23%break-even 12%
Slab market$518.50
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1023%$512.73PSA 952%$56.75PSA 819%$31.507 or lower6%$26.05
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $154.45 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 23% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings228209 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 14.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 11Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
66/100Solid hold

Snorlax earns a 66/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 33% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Lost Origin. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 33% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▲ 5%
Grading edge+33%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.1
Scarcity
7.7
Stability
7.5
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