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Rayquaza-GX — Celestial Storm #177

Rayquaza-GX

Celestial Storm · #177 · GXR

Pull rate1 in 742Cost to pull~$43,674Released2018-08

Fair-value verdict

$301.05

Fair value What our model says this card is worth from its fundamentals — print scarcity, character demand, gem rate, and grading comps. The verdict compares the market price to this. It's a fair-value read, not a prediction of where the price will go.$169.78PREMIUM+77%
+77%
below fairFairabove fair

PSA 10

How Market is measured The Market value is a robust median of PSA 10 sold prices, a 7-day window when the card sells ≥5/week, widening to 30 to 60 days for thin volume, with an outlier filter. The chart plots the individual sales, so a recent spike can ride above this median. Reading raw vs. slab The two verdicts measure against different benchmarks, so they can point different directions without disagreeing. Raw is judged against the graded market, so a discount means the raw card is cheap relative to its PSA 10. Slab is judged against fundamentals, so a premium means the PSA 10 itself looks rich versus print scarcity, grading rates, and demand. Both can be true at once.

$1,424.93

Fair value What our model says this card is worth from its fundamentals — print scarcity, character demand, gem rate, and grading comps. The verdict compares the market price to this. It's a fair-value read, not a prediction of where the price will go.$1,579.23DISCOUNT−10%
-10%
below fairFairabove fair

Grading How often this card grades PSA 10 (gem rate), what a PSA 10 sells for versus the raw card, and how many PSA 10s exist.

Gem rate 36% · 4.7× raw · 539 PSA 10s

Price history· 90d · % change

Overlays
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Raw + PSA 10

PSA 10 line from 16 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+272%if it gems
≈ $1,035.68 net / card
Raw cost
$301.05
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
36%
Slab market
$1,424.93

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 36% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Investment Score

ACore hold
30-Day Move
+6%
Grading Edge
+86%
Time Window
30d

Rayquaza-GX earns a 70/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 77% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Celestial Storm. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 86% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    5.8
  • Scarcity
    9.6
  • Stability
    9.1

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Supply & Demand PSA 10 · eBay sold · last 30 days
PSA 10 pop
539
Sold / wk
6
Turnover1% · brisk
slowrapid

Supply trend · coming soon — banking PSA-10 population data.

PSA-10 sales · sold per day

Demand is PSA-10 sales (eBay sold); supply is the PSA-10 population, so demand pressure here is turnover — % of the population sold per week. A supply trend follows as we bank PSA-10 population history. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Across HyperPotion

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