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Rayquaza V — Evolving Skies #194
Pull rate1 in 1,001 packs
Cost to pull~$43,043
Released2021-08

Rayquaza V

Evolving Skies · #194 · AAV
$475.03fair value $568.08
▼ 16% underPriced below fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−13%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$475.03▼ −$40.37 (−7.8%)past 90 days
$469$483$498$512$475.03
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $475.03 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +28% expected return.Raw $475.03 → PSA 10 $1,024.50 · 2.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$475.03———High
PSA10$1,024.502.2×$1,039.50 · Oct 2758High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,225.002.6×$1,250.00 · Oct 243High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$565.001.2×$475.00 · Oct 267High
BGS10$264.000.6×—0Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate50.8%
PSA graded19,318
PSA 10
9,80950.8%
PSA 9
6,56134%
PSA 8
1,93210%
PSA 7
5152.7%
6 & below
5012.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,003 graded · 35.1% top · 144 Pristine
BGS868 graded · 0% top
SGC236 graded · 40.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+83%if it gems≈ $460.36 net per card
Raw cost$475.03
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate51%break-even 26%
Slab market$1,024.50
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1051%$1,015.39PSA 934%$412.50PSA 810%$353.577 or lower5%$353.57
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $709.16 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 51% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings6753 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week2.8
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 9Oct 6
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
69/100Core hold

Rayquaza V earns a 69/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 16% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Evolving Skies. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 36% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 3%
Grading edge+36%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.5
Scarcity
4.5
Stability
7.2
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