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Mega Hawlucha ex — Ascended Heroes #268
Pull rate1 in 202 packs
Cost to pull~$2,157
Released2026-01

Mega Hawlucha ex

Ascended Heroes · #268 · MAR
$3.53fair value $7.85
▼ 55% underTrading well below fundamentals.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−23%Sales−8%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$3.60▼ −$2.19 (−37.8%)past 90 days
$4.58$5.38$6.18$3.60
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.60 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −56% expected return.Raw $3.53 → PSA 10 $49.00 · 13.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.53———High
PSA10$49.0013.9×$46.00 · Oct 2625High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 34% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$45.0012.8×$79.99 · Oct 1812High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$18.005.1×$14.20 · Oct 2614High
TAG10$46.0013.0×$71.19 · Aug 10Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate68.4%
PSA graded3,796
PSA 10
2,59868.4%
PSA 9
1,08328.5%
PSA 8
882.3%
PSA 7
130.3%
6 & below
140.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC372 graded · 68.3% top · 191 Pristine
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings620606 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week42▼ 7.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 28Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
31/100Avoid

Mega Hawlucha ex earns a 31/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 55% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Ascended Heroes. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-59%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.5
Scarcity
2.0
Stability
2.4
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