Mega Dragonite ex
Ascended Heroes · #290 · SIR$428.88fair value $298.21
▲ 44% overTrading well above fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−35%Sales−29%Listings+6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$428.88▼ −$306.35 (−41.7%)past 90 days
$538$626$715$428.88
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $428.88 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +24% expected return.Raw $428.88 → PSA 10 $828.20 · 1.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$428.88———High
PSA10$828.201.9×$828.20 · Oct 27116High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 24% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,125.002.6×$915.50 · Oct 1811High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$660.001.5×$575.50 · Oct 2011High
BGS10$2,125.005.0×$1,800.00 · Oct 255High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate62.8%
PSA graded10,654
PSA 10
6,69662.8%
PSA 9
3,51833%
PSA 8
3533.3%
PSA 7
360.3%
6 & below
510.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC325 graded · 66.5% top · 102 Pristine
BGS758 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+53%if it gems≈ $267.92 net per card
Raw cost$428.88
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate63%break-even 31%
Slab market$828.20
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 63% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1063%$776.80PSA 933%$391.06PSA 83%$356.507 or lower1%$356.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $631.88 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings117104 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 28.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +6%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 3Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
60/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Dragonite ex earns a 60/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 44% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 34% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 21%
Grading edge+34%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.0
Scarcity
3.1
Stability
5.1
