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Surfer — Ascended Heroes #293
Pull rate1 in 1,533 packs
Cost to pull~$16,372
Released2026-01

Surfer

Ascended Heroes · #293 · SIR
$15.79fair value $22.28
▼ 29% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−28%Sales−26%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$15.79▼ −$7.83 (−33.1%)past 90 days
$18.53$20.82$23.11$15.79
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $15.79 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −32% expected return.Raw $15.79 → PSA 10 $112.50 · 7.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$15.79———High
PSA10$112.507.1×$107.50 · Oct 2311High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 31% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$105.606.7×$150.00 · Sep 301Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$41.402.6×$35.00 · Oct 103High
TAG10$179.9911.4×$300.00 · Aug 50Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate51.3%
PSA graded1,049
PSA 10
53851.3%
PSA 9
40838.9%
PSA 8
878.3%
PSA 7
131.2%
6 & below
30.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC91 graded · 71.4% top · 40 Pristine
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings214205 sellers · -0% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 25.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 3Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
19/100Avoid

Surfer earns a 19/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 29% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Ascended Heroes by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 22%
Grading edge-32%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.4
Scarcity
4.0
Stability
1.8
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