Mega Dragonite ex
Ascended Heroes · #295 · MHR$154.87fair value $147.19
▲ 5% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−37%Sales+56%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$154.87▼ −$128.26 (−45.3%)past 90 days
$200$238$275$154.87
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $154.87 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +11% expected return.Raw $154.87 → PSA 10 $814.38 · 5.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$154.87———High
PSA10$814.385.3×$720.00 · Oct 2627High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,375.008.9×$999.99 · Oct 91Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$440.002.8×$425.00 · Oct 213High
TAG10$1,099.997.1×$1,099.99 · Oct 81Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate18%
PSA graded4,466
PSA 10
80418%
PSA 9
2,51356.3%
PSA 8
96521.6%
PSA 7
1513.4%
6 & below
330.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC331 graded · 31.4% top · 13 Pristine
BGS222 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+225%if it gems≈ $528.97 net per card
Raw cost$154.87
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate18%break-even 14%
Slab market$814.38
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 18% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1018%$763.84PSA 956%$172.63PSA 822%$105.507 or lower4%$105.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $261.76 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings143131 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week8.3▲ 55.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 12Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
64/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Dragonite ex earns a 64/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 5% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 16% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 27%
Grading edge+16%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.1
Scarcity
9.4
Stability
4.0
