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Mega Dragonite ex

Ascended Heroes · #295 · MHR

Mega Dragonite ex — Ascended Heroes #295

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$224.41

DISCOUNT −14%

Modeled fair value $261.25

Priced about right, even a little cheap.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.

Listings +2% · Price −25%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is cheap against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks rich against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 1,080 packs
Cost to pull~$14,990
Released2026-01
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

ACore hold
30-Day Move
-14%
Grading Edge
+40%
Time Window
30d

Mega Dragonite ex earns a 68/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 14% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 40% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    6.5
  • Scarcity
    9.9
  • Stability
    4.3

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 39 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $1,273.33 · Sep 6, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$224.41
High0 sold · 30dlast $275 · Aug 18
PSA logo10$1,273.335.7×
High15 sold · 30dlast $1,273 · Sep 6
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $500.002.2×
High4 sold · 30dlast $358 · Sep 6
TAG logo10$1,195.005.3×
Med3 sold · 30dlast $1,200 · Sep 9
ACE logo10$620.112.8×
Med2 sold · 30dlast $474 · Sep 8

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate19.3%
Graded3,285
  • PSA 1063519.3%
  • PSA 91,85356.4%
  • PSA 867920.7%
  • PSA 7922.8%
  • 6 & below260.8%
Other graders
CGC25232.1% top · 10 Pristine
BGS1790% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+287%if it gems
≈ $873.87 net / card
Raw cost
$224.41
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
19%
Slab market
$1,273.33

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 19% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
109
99 TCGplayer sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / wk
12
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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