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Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR — Astral Radiance #208
Pull rate1 in 1,170 packs
Cost to pull~$11,759
Released2022-05

Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR

Astral Radiance · #208 · GLD
$13.19fair value $11.90
▲ 11% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+5%Sales−80%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$12.72▲ +$1.40 (+12.4%)past 90 days
$11.47$12.29$13.11$13.93$12.72
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $12.72 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −35% expected return.Raw $13.19 → PSA 10 $89.99 · 6.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$13.19———High
PSA10$89.996.8×$105.00 · Sep 10High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 10% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$51.703.9×$38.40 · Oct 52Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$26.002.0×$20.40 · Oct 51Med
TAG10$75.005.7×$85.00 · Oct 101Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate57.6%
PSA graded1,144
PSA 10
65957.6%
PSA 9
37432.7%
PSA 8
766.6%
PSA 7
121%
6 & below
232%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC345 graded · 45.5% top · 39 Pristine
BGS45 graded · 0% top
SGC30 graded · 33.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings3835 sellers · -53% vs 7d
Sold / week8.3▼ 80.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure22% · steady
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 21
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
32/100Avoid

Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR earns a 32/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 11% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Astral Radiance. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 8%
Grading edge-38%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.1
Scarcity
3.2
Stability
8.5
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