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Raichu V — Brilliant Stars #158
Pull rate1 in 580 packs
Cost to pull~$8,567
Released2022-02

Raichu V

Brilliant Stars · #158 · FAV
$6.19fair value $6.33
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−31%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$6.08▲ +$0.59 (+10.7%)past 90 days
$5.54$5.77$5.99$6.22$6.08
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $6.08 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −27% expected return.Raw $6.19 → PSA 10 $99.00 · 16.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$6.19———High
PSA10$99.0016.0×$99.00 · Sep 100High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$48.007.8×$76.80 · Jul 200Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$27.004.4×$44.00 · Oct 170Med
TAG10$61.119.9×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate55%
PSA graded997
PSA 10
54855%
PSA 9
34334.4%
PSA 8
717.1%
PSA 7
202%
6 & below
151.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC565 graded · 39.6% top · 34 Pristine
BGS34 graded · 0% top
SGC23 graded · 21.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings129124 sellers · +8% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 31.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 12Oct 25
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
32/100Avoid

Raichu V earns a 32/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 2% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Brilliant Stars by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-34%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.0
Scarcity
3.5
Stability
8.6
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