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Cynthia's Ambition — Brilliant Stars #169
Pull rate1 in 324 packs
Cost to pull~$4,785
Released2022-02

Cynthia's Ambition

Brilliant Stars · #169 · FAT
$10.50fair value $7.82
▲ 34% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−7%Sales−24%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$10.48▼ −$2.40 (−18.6%)past 90 days
$11.36$12.38$13.39$10.48
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $10.48 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −45% expected return.Raw $10.50 → PSA 10 $80.00 · 7.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$10.50———High
PSA10$80.007.6×$85.00 · Oct 252High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$49.804.7×$50.40 · Jul 200Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$31.203.0×$26.40 · Jul 270Med
TAG10$79.997.6×$79.99 · Mar 170Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate48.3%
PSA graded2,647
PSA 10
1,27948.3%
PSA 9
98237.1%
PSA 8
30511.5%
PSA 7
562.1%
6 & below
250.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC571 graded · 45% top · 44 Pristine
BGS69 graded · 0% top
SGC51 graded · 25.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings200190 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week9.3▼ 23.8% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 26Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid

Cynthia's Ambition earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 34% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Brilliant Stars. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 10%
Grading edge-52%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.9
Scarcity
4.3
Stability
8.6
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