Charizard V
Brilliant Stars · #17 · URV$7.68fair value $17.03
▼ 55% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+11%Sales−8%Listings+7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$7.68▼ −$0.42 (−5.2%)past 90 days
$7.33$7.91$8.21$7.68
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $7.68 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +87% expected return.Raw $7.68 → PSA 10 $227.50 · 29.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$7.68———High
PSA10$227.5029.6×$229.99 · Oct 45High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$62.408.1×$108.00 · Oct 51Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$33.004.3×$39.99 · Oct 85High
SGC10$43.005.6×$80.00 · Mar 20Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate44.1%
PSA graded4,454
PSA 10
1,96344.1%
PSA 9
1,90542.8%
PSA 8
3938.8%
PSA 7
1052.4%
6 & below
882%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population as of Oct 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC2,418 graded · 33.2% top · 80 Pristine
SGC253 graded · 31.6% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+157%if it gems≈ $137.58 net per card
Raw cost$7.68
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate72%break-even 37%
Slab market$227.50
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 72% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1072%$225.26Not a 1028%≈ $7.68
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $163.68 per slab, before selling fees. Too few PSA 9 and 8 sales to price a miss, so it counts at the raw price.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings244235 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 8.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 23Oct 28
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
49/100Fair hold
S+SABCDF
Charizard V earns a 49/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 55% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Brilliant Stars by price. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 89% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge+89%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.0
Scarcity
1.6
Stability
8.3
