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Charizard VSTAR — Brilliant Stars #18
Pull rate1 in 16 packs
Cost to pull~$236
Released2022-02

Charizard VSTAR

Brilliant Stars · #18 · URVS
$12.17fair value $8.80
▲ 38% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales+8%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$12.17▼ −$0.42 (−3.3%)past 90 days
$11.62$12.73$13.28$12.17
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $12.17 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −19% expected return.Raw $12.17 → PSA 10 $113.40 · 9.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$12.17———High
PSA10$113.409.3×$99.75 · Oct 2515High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$59.994.9×$59.00 · Oct 224Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$32.202.6×$25.00 · Oct 238High
TAG10$100.008.2×$100.00 · Jun 270Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate53.4%
PSA graded7,469
PSA 10
3,98553.4%
PSA 9
2,57134.4%
PSA 8
6799.1%
PSA 7
1512%
6 & below
831.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,510 graded · 38.8% top · 179 Pristine
SGC280 graded · 32.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings190180 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week13▲ 7.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 4Oct 28
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
47/100Fair hold

Charizard VSTAR earns a 47/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 38% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Brilliant Stars. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-28%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.1
Scarcity
3.7
Stability
8.9
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