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Arceus VSTAR — Brilliant Stars #184
Pull rate1 in 552 packs
Cost to pull~$8,153
Released2022-02

Arceus VSTAR

Brilliant Stars · #184 · GLD
$18.61fair value $13.60
▲ 37% overPriced above fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−25%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$18.57▲ +$1.43 (+8.3%)past 90 days
$14.73$15.92$17.11$18.57
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $18.57 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −34% expected return.Raw $18.61 → PSA 10 $93.75 · 5.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$18.61———High
PSA10$93.755.0×$97.50 · Oct 194High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$60.193.2×$65.46 · Sep 220Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$31.601.7×$26.40 · Sep 281High
SGC10$35.801.9×$49.99 · Apr 220Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate58%
PSA graded3,582
PSA 10
2,07858%
PSA 9
1,14532%
PSA 8
2657.4%
PSA 7
421.2%
6 & below
521.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,073 graded · 42.1% top · 111 Pristine
BGS142 graded · 0% top
SGC109 graded · 41.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings8682 sellers · +28% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 25.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure14% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 20
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
40/100Watch

Arceus VSTAR earns a 40/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 37% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Brilliant Stars. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▲ 12%
Grading edge-37%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.2
Scarcity
3.2
Stability
9.0
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