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Vaporeon — Brilliant Stars #TG02
Pull rate1 in 96 packs
Cost to pull~$1,418
Released2022-02

Vaporeon

Brilliant Stars · #TG02 · TGN
$23.14fair value $30.70
▼ 25% underPriced below fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales+47%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$23.26▼ −$0.34 (−1.4%)past 90 days
$22.15$22.75$23.96$23.26
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $23.26 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +33% expected return.Raw $23.14 → PSA 10 $478.33 · 20.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$23.14———High
PSA10$478.3320.7×$399.00 · Oct 2720High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$203.508.8×$300.00 · Oct 223High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$65.002.8×$45.60 · Oct 2611High
SGC10$186.008.0×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate24.1%
PSA graded7,814
PSA 10
1,88724.1%
PSA 9
4,06052%
PSA 8
1,50419.2%
PSA 7
2483.2%
6 & below
1151.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,239 graded · 36.6% top · 116 Pristine
SGC94 graded · 36.2% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+359%if it gems≈ $370.48 net per card
Raw cost$23.14
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate24%break-even 16%
Slab market$478.33
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1024%$473.62PSA 952%$30.75PSA 819%$29.997 or lower5%$29.99
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $137.30 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 24% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings275243 sellers · -0% vs 7d
Sold / week15▲ 46.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 12Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
64/100Solid hold

Vaporeon earns a 64/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 25% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Brilliant Stars. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 29% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▲ 2%
Grading edge+29%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.9
Scarcity
7.4
Stability
7.3
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