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Pikachu — Celebrations (25th) #5
Pull rate1 in 4 packs
Released2021-10

Pikachu

Celebrations (25th) · #5 · HOL
$4.32recent trading $4.57
▼ 5% below recentTrading below its recent sales.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−18%Sales+29%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.50▼ −$1.40 (−23.7%)past 90 days
$5.04$5.79$6.54$4.50
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.50 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −47% expected return.Raw $4.32 → PSA 10 $1,374.99 · 318.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.32———High
PSA10$1,374.99318.3×$1,045.00 · Oct 178High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 0.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$877.50203.1×$850.00 · Sep 241Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$119.9927.8×$86.40 · Oct 2610High
TAG10$786.27182.0×$1,162.50 · Sep 170Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate2%
PSA graded49,287
PSA 10
9712%
PSA 9
13,46927.3%
PSA 8
22,41645.5%
PSA 7
9,05518.4%
6 & below
3,3766.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC8,764 graded · 11% top · 76 Pristine
BGS1,100 graded · 0% top
SGC307 graded · 5.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings794669 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week152▲ 28.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure19% · steady
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 27Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
S+
91/100Cornerstone

Pikachu earns a 91/100 investment score and an S+ grade (cornerstone). It sits mid-pack in Celebrations (25th) by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-62%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
9.2
Scarcity
10
Stability
7.6
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