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Xerneas — Chaos Rising #091
Pull rate1 in 103 packs
Cost to pull~$588
Released2026-05

Xerneas

Chaos Rising · #091 · IR
$5.19fair value $4.81
▲ 8% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Supply SqueezeAvailable listings are drying up. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−60%Sales−6%Listings−14%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$5.37▼ −$3.59 (−40.1%)past 90 days
$6.21$7.45$8.70$5.37
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.37 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −30% expected return.Raw $5.19 → PSA 10 $85.25 · 16.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.19———High
PSA10$85.2516.4×$85.25 · Oct 1538High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 33% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$62.4012.0×$28.29 · Oct 2640High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$26.005.0×$22.00 · Oct 2439High
BGS10$102.2519.7×$107.50 · Oct 111Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate71.2%
PSA graded1,403
PSA 10
99971.2%
PSA 9
35225.1%
PSA 8
382.7%
PSA 7
70.5%
6 & below
70.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC334 graded · 65.9% top · 163 Pristine
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings953923 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week133▼ 6.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure14% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -14%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 28Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
22/100Avoid

Xerneas earns a 22/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 8% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Chaos Rising. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-27%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.7
Scarcity
1.6
Stability
0.9
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