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Surfing Beach — Chaos Rising #114
Pull rate1 in 217 packs
Cost to pull~$1,239
Released2026-05

Surfing Beach

Chaos Rising · #114 · UR
$2.43fair value $3.48
▼ 30% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−44%Sales−28%Listings+8%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.51▼ −$1.58 (−38.6%)past 90 days
$2.19$2.90$3.62$4.33$2.51
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.51 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −18% expected return.Raw $2.43 → PSA 10 $119.95 · 49.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.43———High
PSA10$119.9549.4×$58.00 · Sep 130Med
CGC10$18.007.4×$19.20 · Oct 51Med
ACE10$40.5816.7×$41.97 · Aug 160Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate58.3%
PSA graded12
PSA 10
758.3%
PSA 9
433.3%
PSA 8
18.3%
PSA 7
00%
6 & below
00%
PSA population as of Oct 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings565546 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week48▼ 27.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +8%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 28Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
34/100Avoid

Surfing Beach earns a 34/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 30% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Chaos Rising by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-8%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.5
Scarcitylimited data
5.0
Stability
0.9
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