Mega Greninja ex
Chaos Rising · #116 · SIR$110.94fair value $66.94
▲ 66% overTrading well above fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−56%Sales−27%Listings−10%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$109.94▼ −$112.21 (−50.5%)past 90 days
$150$183$216$109.94
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $109.94 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +24% expected return.Raw $110.94 → PSA 10 $325.81 · 2.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$110.94———High
PSA10$325.812.9×$320.00 · Oct 27236High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 27% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$453.004.1×$360.00 · Oct 266High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$234.502.1×$153.25 · Oct 2620High
BGS10$1,000.009.0×$520.00 · Oct 182High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate68.5%
PSA graded7,165
PSA 10
4,90568.5%
PSA 9
1,91926.8%
PSA 8
2153%
PSA 7
440.6%
6 & below
821.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC410 graded · 64.1% top · 155 Pristine
BGS594 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+53%if it gems≈ $100.91 net per card
Raw cost$110.94
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate68%break-even 42%
Slab market$325.81
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 68% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1068%$291.85PSA 927%$119.99PSA 83%$101.407 or lower2%$101.40
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $236.66 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings295261 sellers · -10% vs 7d
Sold / week21▼ 27.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -10%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 24Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
44/100Watch
S+SABCDF
Mega Greninja ex earns a 44/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 66% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Chaos Rising. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 35% ROI. It trades actively.
30-day move▼ 29%
Grading edge+35%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.7
Scarcity
2.0
Stability
1.6
