Mega Greninja ex
Chaos Rising · #122 · MHR$113.46fair value $79.16
▲ 43% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−44%Sales−14%Listings−6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$113.77▼ −$79.35 (−41.1%)past 90 days
$142$165$188$113.77
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $113.77 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +18% expected return.Raw $113.46 → PSA 10 $621.84 · 5.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$113.46———High
PSA10$621.845.5×$841.47 · Oct 2724High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$600.005.3×$800.00 · Oct 232Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$240.002.1×$221.04 · Oct 2413High
TAG10$587.505.2×$700.00 · Oct 221Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate24.3%
PSA graded2,121
PSA 10
51524.3%
PSA 9
1,17455.4%
PSA 8
39818.8%
PSA 7
211%
6 & below
130.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC173 graded · 43.4% top · 13 Pristine
BGS163 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+188%if it gems≈ $363.57 net per card
Raw cost$113.46
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate24%break-even 16%
Slab market$621.84
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 24% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1024%$557.03PSA 955%$130.25PSA 819%$100.257 or lower2%$100.25
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $227.85 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings198169 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 14.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -6%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 12Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
55/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Greninja ex earns a 55/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 43% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Chaos Rising. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 23% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 25%
Grading edge+23%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.3
Scarcity
8.4
Stability
2.9
