Melony
Chilling Reign · #195 · FAT$5.39fair value $6.51
▼ 17% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−6%Sales+30%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$5.50▲ +$0.43 (+8.5%)past 90 days
$4.92$5.19$5.73$5.50
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.50 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −53% expected return.Raw $5.39 → PSA 10 $62.07 · 11.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.39———High
PSA10$62.0711.5×$69.00 · Aug 280High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$31.205.8×$30.00 · Apr 270Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$22.104.1×$40.00 · Aug 10Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate49.9%
PSA graded835
PSA 10
41749.9%
PSA 9
32939.4%
PSA 8
728.6%
PSA 7
101.2%
6 & below
70.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC351 graded · 40.2% top · 37 Pristine
BGS18 graded · 0% top
SGC22 graded · 31.8% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings147143 sellers · +8% vs 7d
Sold / week9.8▲ 30.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 12Oct 25
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
25/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Melony earns a 25/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 17% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Chilling Reign by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-61%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.8
Scarcity
4.2
Stability
9.0
