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Ethan's Adventure — Destined Rivals #221
Pull rate1 in 344 packs
Cost to pull~$2,869
Released2025-05

Ethan's Adventure

Destined Rivals · #221 · UR
$2.72fair value $2.64
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Supply BuildingListings are piling up faster than they sell. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales−9%Listings+10%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.72▼ −$0.68 (−20.0%)past 90 days
$2.53$2.95$3.38$3.80$2.72
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.72 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −66% expected return.Raw $2.72 → PSA 10 $43.88 · 16.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.72———High
PSA10$43.8816.1×$50.00 · Sep 130High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 28% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$25.809.5×$22.80 · Aug 30High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$16.806.2×$14.00 · Jul 290High
BGS10$40.0014.7×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate50.5%
PSA graded1,295
PSA 10
65450.5%
PSA 9
47836.9%
PSA 8
1189.1%
PSA 7
382.9%
6 & below
70.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC155 graded · 58.1% top · 61 Pristine
BGS31 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 20% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings537527 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week21▼ 9.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +10%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 23Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Ethan's Adventure earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 3% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Destined Rivals. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-72%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.7
Scarcity
4.1
Stability
7.3
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