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Rayquaza VMAX — Evolving Skies #111
Pull rate1 in 450 packs
Cost to pull~$19,350
Released2021-08

Rayquaza VMAX

Evolving Skies · #111 · HVM
$12.84fair value $14.08
▼ 9% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+6%Sales+174%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$12.31▼ −$2.56 (−17.2%)past 90 days
$13.56$14.95$16.35$12.31
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $12.31 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +35% expected return.Raw $12.84 → PSA 10 $167.19 · 13.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$12.84———High
PSA10$167.1913.0×$130.50 · Oct 2120High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.6% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$76.806.0×$150.00 · Oct 114High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$33.002.6×$41.40 · Oct 266High
SGC10$15.601.2×—0Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate65.4%
PSA graded5,080
PSA 10
3,32465.4%
PSA 9
1,27025%
PSA 8
2995.9%
PSA 7
871.7%
6 & below
1002%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,556 graded · 42.9% top · 146 Pristine
BGS124 graded · 0% top
SGC111 graded · 54.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+78%if it gems≈ $72.86 net per card
Raw cost$12.84
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate65%break-even 38%
Slab market$167.19
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1065%$165.70PSA 925%$58.00PSA 86%$27.707 or lower4%$15.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $125.08 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 65% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings158146 sellers · -19% vs 7d
Sold / week25▲ 174.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure16% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 27Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
44/100Watch

Rayquaza VMAX earns a 44/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 9% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Evolving Skies by price. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 23% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 18%
Grading edge+23%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.4
Scarcity
2.3
Stability
7.0
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