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Elesa's Sparkle — Fusion Strike #260
Pull rate1 in 448 packs
Cost to pull~$8,284
Released2021-11

Elesa's Sparkle

Fusion Strike · #260 · FAT
$3.75fair value $4.53
▼ 17% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−0%Sales−27%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$3.82▼ −$0.29 (−7.1%)past 90 days
$3.67$3.91$4.14$4.38$3.82
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.82 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −63% expected return.Raw $3.75 → PSA 10 $61.99 · 16.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.75———High
PSA10$61.9916.5×$68.00 · Sep 130High
CGC10$22.406.0×—0Low
SGC10$15.004.0×$14.99 · Aug 210Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate42.8%
PSA graded1,432
PSA 10
61342.8%
PSA 9
52936.9%
PSA 8
22515.7%
PSA 7
433%
6 & below
221.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC416 graded · 38.2% top · 19 Pristine
BGS54 graded · 0% top
SGC37 graded · 27% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings233225 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week9▼ 27.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 12Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Elesa's Sparkle earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 17% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Fusion Strike by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-66%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.1
Scarcity
5.0
Stability
9.1
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