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Elesa's Sparkle — Fusion Strike #275
Pull rate1 in 1,524 packs
Cost to pull~$28,179
Released2021-11

Elesa's Sparkle

Fusion Strike · #275 · RBW
$5.53fair value $6.43
▼ 14% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−0%Sales−30%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$5.64▲ +$0.18 (+3.3%)past 90 days
$5.29$5.50$5.91$5.64
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.64 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −60% expected return.Raw $5.53 → PSA 10 $56.00 · 10.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.53———High
PSA10$56.0010.1×$56.00 · Aug 90High
CGC10$39.007.0×$39.00 · May 170Med
TAG10$49.999.0×$49.99 · Jun 70Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate44.1%
PSA graded510
PSA 10
22544.1%
PSA 9
23345.7%
PSA 8
458.8%
PSA 7
30.6%
6 & below
40.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC220 graded · 40% top · 12 Pristine
BGS22 graded · 0% top
SGC35 graded · 34.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings133130 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week5.3▼ 30.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 9Oct 22
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
25/100Avoid

Elesa's Sparkle earns a 25/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 14% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Fusion Strike by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-68%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.6
Scarcity
4.8
Stability
9.3
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