Pull rate1 in 1,001 packs

Cost to pull~$37,107

Released2017-05

TCGplayer eBay

Toxapex GX

Guardians Rising · #154 · GXR

Watch

$10.29fair value $15.62

▼ 34% underPriced below fair value.

Market readSimilar cards →

Stable

30 daysListings+8%

Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast

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Price history

Raw price

Raw

$10.29▲ +$1.00 (+10.8%)past 90 days

$9.36$9.67$9.98$10.29

Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28

Market price

Latest raw market price · $10.29 · Oct 28, 2026

Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grade ladder

What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.

Grading Signals →

BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +15% expected return.Raw $10.29 → PSA 10 $214.64 · 20.9×

GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence

—Raw$10.29———High

PSA10$214.6420.9×$147.17 · Aug 220Med

CGC10$69.996.8×$69.99 · Aug 110Low

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.

Gem rate42.9%

PSA graded203

PSA 10

8742.9%

PSA 9

7838.4%

PSA 8

2110.3%

PSA 7

42%

6 & below

136.4%

Other graders · as of Oct 2026

CGC38 graded · 23.7% top

BGS5 graded · 0% top

SGC2 graded · 50% top

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

Grading Signals →

+137%if it gems≈ $123.31 net per card

Raw cost$10.29

Grading fee$80.00

Gem rate43%break-even 35%

Slab market$214.64

If you grade it, it comes back…

GradeOddsSells forPSA 1043%$213.60PSA 939%$29.00PSA 810%$10.297 or lower8%$10.29

Averaged over those odds: ≈ $104.12 per slab, before selling fees.

Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 43% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.

Raw

TCGplayer listings2727 sellers · +35% vs 7d

Sold / week1.8

Demand pressure6% · soft

softhot

Supply trendsteady · +8%

ClearingBuilding

TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Jul 31Oct 6

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.

Data snapshot, not a forecast

36/100Avoid

S+SABCDF

Toxapex GX earns a 36/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 34% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Guardians Rising by price. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 8% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▲ 2%

Grading edge+8%

Time window30d

What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards

Demand

2.2

Scarcity

5.0

Stability

8.7