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Bulbasaur — Mega Evolution #133
Pull rate1 in 202 packs
Cost to pull~$1,830
Released2025-09

Bulbasaur

Mega Evolution · #133 · IR
$16.80fair value $23.33
▼ 28% underPriced below fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−19%Sales+70%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$16.80▼ −$4.80 (−22.2%)past 90 days
$14.63$19.76$22.33$16.80
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $16.80 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +13% expected return.Raw $16.80 → PSA 10 $170.48 · 10.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$16.80———High
PSA10$170.4810.2×$240.00 · Oct 26136High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 20% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$129.007.7×$87.00 · Oct 238High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$49.202.9×$28.80 · Oct 2637High
BGS10$199.9911.9×$199.99 · Aug 180Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate60.7%
PSA graded22,175
PSA 10
13,45760.7%
PSA 9
7,62334.4%
PSA 8
8223.7%
PSA 7
1330.6%
6 & below
1400.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,646 graded · 60.6% top · 415 Pristine
BGS425 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 50% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+69%if it gems≈ $66.49 net per card
Raw cost$16.80
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate61%break-even 51%
Slab market$170.48
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1061%$163.29PSA 934%$28.00PSA 84%$17.007 or lower1%$14.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $109.55 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 61% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings409389 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week31▲ 69.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 27Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
53/100Solid hold

Bulbasaur earns a 53/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 28% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Mega Evolution. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 14% ROI. It trades actively.

30-day move▼ 7%
Grading edge+14%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.8
Scarcity
2.9
Stability
5.8
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