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Houndstone — Mega Evolution #145
Pull rate1 in 202 packs
Cost to pull~$1,830
Released2025-09

Houndstone

Mega Evolution · #145 · IR
$2.64fair value $2.35
▲ 12% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+14%Sales−28%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.64▼ −$0.09 (−3.3%)past 90 days
$2.79$3.01$3.24$2.64
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.64 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −68% expected return.Raw $2.64 → PSA 10 $37.00 · 14.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.64———High
PSA10$37.0014.0×$36.00 · Oct 197High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 22% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$30.0011.4×$19.80 · Oct 196High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$15.005.7×$8.50 · Oct 1915High
TAG10$40.0015.2×$55.00 · Oct 191High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate65.9%
PSA graded2,359
PSA 10
1,55465.9%
PSA 9
67028.4%
PSA 8
1044.4%
PSA 7
180.8%
6 & below
130.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC501 graded · 61.1% top · 142 Pristine
BGS26 graded · 0% top
SGC3 graded · 33.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings404395 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week20▼ 28.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 27Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
30/100Avoid

Houndstone earns a 30/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 12% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-69%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.5
Scarcity
2.3
Stability
6.3
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