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Mega Venusaur ex

Mega Evolution · #177 · SIR

Mega Venusaur ex — Mega Evolution #177

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$154.82

PREMIUM +50%

Modeled fair value $103.16

Trading well above fundamentals.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.

Listings −2% · Price −2%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is expensive against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks cheap against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 1,008 packs
Cost to pull~$8,518
Released2025-09
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

CFair hold
30-Day Move
-1%
Grading Edge
-11%
Time Window
30d

Mega Venusaur ex earns a 52/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 50% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    5.7
  • Scarcity
    2.3
  • Stability
    6.2

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 178 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $229.99 · Sep 11, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$154.82
High0 sold · 30dlast $170 · Aug 30
PSA logo10$237.241.5×
High60 sold · 30dlast $230 · Sep 11
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $199.501.3×
High7 sold · 30dlast $147 · Sep 11
BGS logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The BGS 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $475.003.1×
Med1 sold · 30dlast $565 · Aug 14
TAG logo10$289.001.9×
High8 sold · 30dlast $370 · Sep 11
ACE logo10$178.521.1×
High5 sold · 30dlast $196 · Sep 7

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate65.1%
Graded14,496
  • PSA 109,43165.1%
  • PSA 94,38930.3%
  • PSA 85423.7%
  • PSA 7550.4%
  • 6 & below790.5%
Other graders
CGC42563.8% top · 169 Pristine
BGS3780% top
SGC633.3% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
99
94 TCGplayer sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / wk
15
Demand pressure15% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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