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Mega Venusaur ex — Mega Evolution #177
Pull rate1 in 1,008 packs
Cost to pull~$9,132
Released2025-09

Mega Venusaur ex

Mega Evolution · #177 · SIR
$111.80fair value $75.74
▲ 48% overTrading well above fundamentals.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales+243%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$111.80▼ −$45.19 (−28.8%)past 90 days
$128$141$155$111.80
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $111.80 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −20% expected return.Raw $111.80 → PSA 10 $184.17 · 1.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$111.80———High
PSA10$184.171.6×$188.37 · Oct 2795High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 29% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$265.002.4×$220.00 · Oct 228High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$132.001.2×$100.00 · Oct 269High
BGS10$397.503.6×$295.00 · Oct 193High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate65.3%
PSA graded15,641
PSA 10
10,20865.3%
PSA 9
4,70830.1%
PSA 8
5843.7%
PSA 7
580.4%
6 & below
830.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC483 graded · 61.7% top · 200 Pristine
BGS409 graded · 0% top
SGC7 graded · 28.6% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings141132 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week10▲ 242.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 17Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
49/100Fair hold

Mega Venusaur ex earns a 49/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 48% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 26%
Grading edge-17%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.3
Scarcity
2.3
Stability
6.5
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