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Ninetales — Obsidian Flames #199
Pull rate1 in 158 packs
Cost to pull~$1,928
Released2023-08

Ninetales

Obsidian Flames · #199 · IR
$31.41fair value $32.28
≈ at fairPriced about right.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−15%Sales−16%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$31.41▼ −$9.75 (−23.7%)past 90 days
$35.75$40.14$44.54$31.41
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $31.41 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −13% expected return.Raw $31.41 → PSA 10 $317.50 · 10.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$31.41———High
PSA10$317.5010.1×$275.00 · Oct 2625High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 1.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$590.0018.8×$699.99 · Oct 51Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$93.603.0×$120.00 · Oct 232High
TAG10$350.0011.1×$249.61 · Sep 291Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate21.9%
PSA graded21,758
PSA 10
4,76621.9%
PSA 9
11,71953.9%
PSA 8
4,31419.8%
PSA 7
7033.2%
6 & below
2561.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,948 graded · 27.7% top · 36 Pristine
BGS439 graded · 0% top
SGC220 graded · 8.6% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings283250 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 15.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 12Oct 25
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
64/100Solid hold

Ninetales earns a 64/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 3% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Obsidian Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 4%
Grading edge-16%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.0
Scarcity
7.4
Stability
6.9
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