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Bellibolt — Obsidian Flames #201
Pull rate1 in 158 packs
Cost to pull~$1,928
Released2023-08

Bellibolt

Obsidian Flames · #201 · IR
$4.82fair value $6.74
▼ 29% underPriced below fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−3%Sales−29%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.82▼ −$1.13 (−19.0%)past 90 days
$5.31$5.77$6.24$4.82
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.82 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −49% expected return.Raw $4.82 → PSA 10 $142.31 · 29.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.82———High
PSA10$142.3129.5×$81.00 · Oct 111High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 2.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$135.0028.0×$135.00 · Aug 170Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$22.004.6×$16.80 · Oct 121High
TAG10$65.0013.5×$65.00 · Apr 250Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate20.8%
PSA graded1,843
PSA 10
38320.8%
PSA 9
99854.2%
PSA 8
36519.8%
PSA 7
744%
6 & below
231.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC527 graded · 24.5% top · 11 Pristine
BGS36 graded · 0% top
SGC34 graded · 11.8% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings346314 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 28.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 15Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
44/100Watch

Bellibolt earns a 44/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 29% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Obsidian Flames by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-61%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.0
Scarcity
7.5
Stability
7.1
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