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Tyranitar ex — Obsidian Flames #211
Pull rate1 in 181 packs
Cost to pull~$2,208
Released2023-08

Tyranitar ex

Obsidian Flames · #211 · UR
$4.68fair value $6.21
▼ 25% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−1%Sales+35%Listings−3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.68▼ −$0.58 (−11.0%)past 90 days
$4.89$5.20$5.50$4.68
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.68 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −37% expected return.Raw $4.68 → PSA 10 $103.17 · 22.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.68———High
PSA10$103.1722.0×$103.17 · Oct 159High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.6% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$80.0017.1×$62.40 · Oct 51Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$25.005.3×$25.00 · Oct 142High
SGC10$34.307.3×$35.00 · Sep 181Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate42%
PSA graded4,015
PSA 10
1,68542%
PSA 9
1,92648%
PSA 8
3258.1%
PSA 7
421%
6 & below
370.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,310 graded · 40.5% top · 77 Pristine
BGS104 graded · 0% top
SGC175 graded · 52% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings266256 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week23▲ 35.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 15Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
45/100Fair hold

Tyranitar ex earns a 45/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 25% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Obsidian Flames by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-46%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.5
Scarcity
5.1
Stability
8.6
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