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Poppy — Obsidian Flames #220
Pull rate1 in 181 packs
Cost to pull~$2,208
Released2023-08

Poppy

Obsidian Flames · #220 · UR
$1.16fair value $1.94
▼ 40% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+11%Sales+3%Listings+0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$1.16▼ −$0.11 (−8.7%)past 90 days
$0.99$1.30$1.45$1.16
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.16 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.16———High
CGC10$24.0020.7×$24.00 · May 160Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate23.5%
PSA graded684
PSA 10
16123.5%
PSA 9
33448.8%
PSA 8
15522.7%
PSA 7
284.1%
6 & below
60.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC382 graded · 22.3% top · 7 Pristine
BGS29 graded · 0% top
SGC31 graded · 29% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings540499 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week15▲ 2.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 9Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
—
33/100Limited grading data

Poppy scores 33/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 40% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Obsidian Flames. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demandlimited data
1.2
Scarcity
7.3
Stability
8.7
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