Charizard ex
Obsidian Flames · #223 · SIR$89.44fair value $101.11
▼ 12% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales+32%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$89.44▼ −$23.72 (−21.0%)past 90 days
$97$104$112$89.44
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $89.44 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +38% expected return.Raw $89.44 → PSA 10 $664.80 · 7.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$89.44———High
PSA10$664.807.4×$760.00 · Oct 2673High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 1.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$887.509.9×$1,250.00 · Oct 41Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$299.953.4×$279.00 · Oct 2316High
SGC10$224.502.5×$299.00 · Aug 30Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate22.3%
PSA graded58,037
PSA 10
12,94922.3%
PSA 9
29,29750.5%
PSA 8
12,24021.1%
PSA 7
2,3654.1%
6 & below
1,1862%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC4,921 graded · 23.9% top · 97 Pristine
BGS1,831 graded · 0% top
SGC923 graded · 21.6% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+287%if it gems≈ $485.85 net per card
Raw cost$89.44
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate22%break-even 10%
Slab market$664.80
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 22% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1022%$655.29PSA 951%$130.26PSA 821%$85.077 or lower6%$68.12
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $234.01 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings311268 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week11▲ 31.8% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 4Oct 26
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
78/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Charizard ex earns a 78/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 12% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Obsidian Flames. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 29% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 9%
Grading edge+29%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.9
Scarcity
7.4
Stability
7.7
